Frontier Cuts 14 Routes
Guess we do need to consider Frontier is a distinct possibility here.
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The FAA has requested airlines with a heavy NYC presence to CUT flights this summer by 10% due to shortages of Air Traffic Controller shortages. Delta and JetBlue have already acquiesced. Stay tuned.
That’s where I’d put money for several reasons:
They specifically mentioned Worcester back when they were going to buy Spirit.
They would love to take a possible route away from JetBlue and this would be a no brainer.
San Juan is practically a hub for them. We could see Orlando and San Juan if we’re lucky.
The announcement has to do with JB. No indication of a new Carrier. Sources are unsure of details, but know it involves JB. JB will also be cutting 1 of their NYC JFK Flights shortly. Unsure if this will be announced or just happen.
I’m going to add to Rusty’s comment, the change for JFK takes place 6/15. The flight will be 1x a day. Leave JFK at 8pm and get to ORH at 9:16pm then leave ORH at 9:51pm and get to JFK at 11:00pm. The change will be in effect till 10/29. The good news is american will have a mid day flight still for those wanting to get to JFK for a mid day flight and if the alliance is still on between JetBlue and American, it’s sometimes the cheapest option to go ORH to JFK on American then JFK to wherever on JetBlue. When 10/29 comes, American will go to a similar schedule that delta currently has now with their flight to LGA.
Remember this is all subject to change and can change. Just like we’ve seen w the A320 for the FLL flight which went from being only 3 months to the permanent aircraft.
David mentioned about the flight cuts and this seems to be one of them. But if Rusty is right and we lose a JFK flight to have it go somewhere else, it might be a good thing especially if it’s Orlando again.
Also data for November 2022 flights are out for seat utilization (how much of the flight is loaded). (Percentage in parentheses is difference compared to October) (Source: AviationDB.net)
ORH-JFK
American: 34% (+4%)
JetBlue: 58% (+7%)
JFK-ORH
American: 25% (+6%)
JetBlue: 53% (+3%)
ORH-LGA
Delta: 42% (-5%)
LGA-ORH
Delta: 45% (-2%)
ORH-FLL
JetBlue: 80% (+3%)
FLL-ORH
JetBlue: 79% (+9%)
American and Delta’s numbers are not good. JetBlue’s JFK flight is ok but the FLL flight is doing amazing. 162 seat aircraft is averaging 129.6 seats booked per flight (remember the E190 only holds 100 seats) so essentially ever since the upgrade to aircraft happened, it would’ve sold out and oversold every flight if the E190 still did the flight. That could be what JetBlue is seeing and potentially bringing a Florida flight whether it’s Tampa, Fort Myers, or Orlando, it should do extremely well.